What is it like to be wrong about something? “A lot of people are more scared than they have any reason to be,” the Harvard law professor and former White House adviser Cass R. Sunstein wrote in February 2020, about the oncoming coronavirus pandemic. “They have an exaggerated sense of their own personal risk.” Whoops!
Surely, that analysis was off target. But in what way was it off target? Sunstein has joined Daniel Kahneman and Olivier Sibony—the Nobel-winning economist and author of Thinking, Fast and Slow, and a business-school decision-making expert, respectively—to publish Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment, a book about error-making.